Swell SWELL
SWELL cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 40 mixed
89.2% below its 365-day high of $0.00681 (2025-10-30), +35.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
89% below its rolling 365-day high, 356 days after the high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +35.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 1r 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.00105 · 2026-03-31
- Position
- 7 of median 5.5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.00054 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00145
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.000691 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.000673 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.000799
- Cycle-low confidence
- 82% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 15
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.000673 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.000673 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 24%
- Confirmed lows
- 123
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.00105 (Mar 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 0.00054 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00145.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.000691 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 0.0006732 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0007987. Cycle-low confidence 82%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0006732 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Red List: 89% below the 2025-10-30 high; +36% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 21 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +36% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.0008161).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.82 (cheap); -99% from the all-time high.
Has Swell bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SWELL snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00105 from 2026-03-31. A newer candidate at $0.00054 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00145, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000691 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.000673 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.000799, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.000673 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Swell below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 89.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.00681 from 2025-10-30. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.0% relative to its all-time high of $0.0696 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0700 · Nov 2024
- Trough
- $0.00054 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -99.2% over 21 months
- Above trough
- +35.7%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.00145
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.000691 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.000816
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 12.68 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.71 x | 9.7 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1853 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.0 yrs | 4.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.2M
- Fully diluted
- $7.1M
- 24h volume
- $530.8K
- Circulating
- 5,222,439,411 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.0696 · 2024-11-09 (-99.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.825 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.283
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-11-07 (714 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- swell-network
Continue your cycle research
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