Crypto · rank #16

USDS USDS

USDS cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.9999-0.0% 1d+0.0% 7d-0.0% 30d

Red List mixed excluded from lists

2.2% below its 365-day high of $1.02 (2025-12-05), +0.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.99010.9991.012025-072026-032026-10high 1.02low 0.9945
Where it stands

On the Red List.

A crash of 13.2 daily-vol units over 10 days, 2% below its rolling 365-day high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
1g 2Ug 2Ur 3 1r
Confirmed low
$0.9963 · 2026-01-31
Position
9 of median ? (max ?)
Current low
$0.9950 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$1.01
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
1

Weekly 2D

Last bars
1r 3 2Dr 2Ur 2D
Confirmed low
$0.9996 · 2026-10-11
Position
2 of median 4.0 (max 6)
Current low
$0.9996 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$1.00
Cycle-low confidence
32%
Confirmed lows
17

Daily 1

Last bars
1g 3r 2D 1g 1
Confirmed low
$0.9996 · 2026-10-07 (weekly)
Position
14 of median 4.0 (max 14)
Current low
$0.9996 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$1.00
Cycle-low confidence
58% · in band
Confirmed lows
95
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.9963 (Jan 2026). Current low 0.995 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.01.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a doji 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.9996 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.9996 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.00. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Daily: bar is a doji inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.9996 (2026-10-07), day 14 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.9996 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.00. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
  • Red List: 2% below the 2025-12-05 high; +0% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (neutral); -1% from the all-time high.

Has USDS bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the USDS snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9963 from 2026-01-31. A newer candidate at $0.9950 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.01, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9996 from 2026-10-11. A newer candidate at $0.9996 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.00, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9996 from 2026-10-07. A newer candidate at $0.9996 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.00, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is USDS below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 2.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.02 from 2025-12-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -5.4% relative to its all-time high of $1.06 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Red List

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx

Not scored: pegged / wrapped / staking derivative — price action belongs to the underlying

Market cap
$9.95B
Fully diluted
$9.95B
24h volume
$40.3M
Circulating
9,955,614,989
All-time high
$1.06 · 2024-10-28 (-5.4%)
Mayer multiple
1.0 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.5
On Coinbase since
2025-07-10 (469 bars)
CoinGecko id
usds

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources