Aavegotchi GHST
GHST cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 40 mixed
82.4% below its 365-day high of $0.3570 (2025-11-08), +49.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 12.8 daily-vol units over 20 days, 82% below its rolling 365-day high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +49.3% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 1r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.3100 · 2025-06-30
- Position
- 16 of median 5 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.0420 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1247
- Cycle-low confidence
- 67%
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 3g 1r 2Ur 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0420 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 5.0 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.0420 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 38% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 33
Daily
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0610 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 27)
- Current low
- $0.0606 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0630
- Cycle-low confidence
- 43%
- Confirmed lows
- 229
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.31 (Jun 2025), month 16 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.042 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1247. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.042 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.061 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0606 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.063. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
- Red List: 82% below the 2025-11-08 high; +49% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 28 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +49% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.01 (neutral); -91% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Aavegotchi bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the GHST snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3100 from 2025-06-30. A newer candidate at $0.0420 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1247, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0420 from 2026-08-16. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0610 from 2026-10-20. A newer candidate at $0.0606 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0630, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Aavegotchi below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.4% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3570 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.3% relative to its all-time high of $3.63 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $3.85 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.0420 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -98.9% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +49.3%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.1247
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.53 % | 3.4 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 2009 # | 0 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 554.8 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.9 yrs | 9.6 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $3.3M
- Fully diluted
- $3.3M
- 24h volume
- $51.1K
- Circulating
- 52,747,801 of 52,747,803 max
- All-time high
- $3.63 · 2024-04-01 (-98.3%)
- TVL
- $6.0K (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.015 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -91.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.272
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-12-06 (1416 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- aavegotchi
Continue your cycle research
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