HOPR HOPR
HOPR cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 67.0 mixed
73.1% below its 365-day high of $0.0493 (2025-11-01), +31.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +31.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0101 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 9 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.0101 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Ur 2Dr 2Ur 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0110 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.0110 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 43%
- Confirmed lows
- 32
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dr 2Dg 2Dg 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0122 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 28)
- Current low
- $0.0122 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 29% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 263
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0101 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01099 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.01216 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 29%.
- Red List: 73% below the 2025-11-01 high; +31% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +31% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-10-18.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.82 (cheap); -75% vs the 200-week average; -95% from the all-time high.
Has HOPR bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the HOPR snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0101 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0110 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0122 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is HOPR below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 73.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0493 from 2025-11-01. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.6% relative to its all-time high of $0.9515 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.2875 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0101 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.5% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +31.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0135
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (4 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0110 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $0.0145
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 12.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.15 % | 0.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.03 x | 14.7 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1366 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 483.8 x | 0 / 20 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 8.1 % | 5.8 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $8.8M
- Fully diluted
- $9.1M
- 24h volume
- $13.4K
- Circulating
- 666,916,232 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.9515 · 2021-03-29 (-98.6%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $1.5K
- Revenue 30d
- $1.5K
- Fees 1y
- $28.1K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.82 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -74.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.325
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-06-22 (1583 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- hopr
Continue your cycle research
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