Karrat KARRAT
KARRAT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 47.5 mixed
90.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0318 (2025-10-22), +36.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
91% below its rolling 365-day high, 364 days after the high.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +36.6% above the Sep 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 3r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0036 · 2026-03-31
- Position
- 7 of median 9 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.00213 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0054
- Cycle-low confidence
- 45% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 1r 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00213 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.5 (max 31)
- Current low
- $0.00213 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 15
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Dr 1g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.00269 · 2026-10-17 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.00275 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00299
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 153
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0036 (Mar 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Current low 0.00213 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0054. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00213 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00269 (2026-10-17), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.00275 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00299. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Red List: 91% below the 2025-10-22 high; +37% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 100% decline over 29 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +37% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.83 (cheap); -100% from the all-time high.
Has Karrat bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KARRAT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0036 from 2026-03-31. A newer candidate at $0.00213 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0054, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00213 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00269 from 2026-10-17. A newer candidate at $0.00275 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00299, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Karrat below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 90.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0318 from 2025-10-22. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.8% relative to its all-time high of $1.26 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Red List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.30 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.00213 · Sep 2026
- Decline
- -99.8% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +36.6%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.0054
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 7.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.59 % | 10.3 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.14 x | 14.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 2152 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.5 yrs | 5.7 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $2.7M
- Fully diluted
- $3.1M
- 24h volume
- $98.2K
- Circulating
- 879,116,940 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $1.26 · 2024-06-05 (-99.8%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.835 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.243
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-04-22 (913 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- karrat
Continue your cycle research
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