Shadow Token SHDW
SHDW cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
71.5% below its 365-day high of $0.0950 (2025-10-24), +81.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
A crash of 9.2 daily-vol units over 20 days, 72% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +81.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0149 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.0149 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 35% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0183 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0257 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0327
- Cycle-low confidence
- 59% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 19
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0270 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 6 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.0257 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0286
- Cycle-low confidence
- 52%
- Confirmed lows
- 146
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01494 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01831 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 0.02571 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.03271. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02701 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.02571 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.02862. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Red List: 72% below the 2025-10-24 high; +81% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +81% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.02239).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.14 (neutral); -99% from the all-time high.
Has Shadow Token bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SHDW snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0149 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0183 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0257 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0327, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0270 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.0257 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0286, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Shadow Token below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 71.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0950 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.0% relative to its all-time high of $2.82 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.22 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.0149 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -99.3% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +81.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0318
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0720 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0183 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0224
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.3 % | 0.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1784 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.5 yrs | 5.8 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.6M
- Fully diluted
- $4.6M
- 24h volume
- $14.0K
- Circulating
- 169,053,485
- All-time high
- $2.82 · 2022-01-04 (-99.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.137 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.337
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-04-10 (925 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- genesysgo-shadow
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources