Dash DASH
DASH cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 50.4 mixed
66.6% below its 365-day high of $150.16 (2025-11-04), +73.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +73.3% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $28.90 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $28.90 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 32%
- Confirmed lows
- 14
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $49.68 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $45.84 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $54.57
- Cycle-low confidence
- 84% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 59
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $45.84 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $46.23 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $51.91
- Cycle-low confidence
- 24%
- Confirmed lows
- 418
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 28.90 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 49.68 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 45.84 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 54.57. Cycle-low confidence 84%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 45.84 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 46.23 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 51.91. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Red List: 67% below the 2025-11-04 high; +73% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 81% decline over 8 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +73% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.20 (neutral); +40% vs the 200-week average; -89% from the all-time high.
Has Dash bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the DASH snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $28.90 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $49.68 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $45.84 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $54.57, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $45.84 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $46.23 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $51.91, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Dash below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 66.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $150.16 from 2025-11-04. Separately, CoinGecko reports -96.7% relative to its all-time high of $1,494 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $150.16 · Nov 2025
- Trough
- $28.90 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -80.8% over 8 months
- Above trough
- +73.3%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $37.30
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (3 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $49.68 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $65.03
| decline | 25.4 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.75 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 91 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 92799.0 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 9760.57 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -0.7 % | 4.9 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $756.7M
- Fully diluted
- $756.7M
- 24h volume
- $51.1M
- Circulating
- 12,850,493 of 18,920,000 max
- All-time high
- $1,494 · 2017-12-19 (-96.7%)
- TVL
- $77.5K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $670
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $10.6K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.197 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- +39.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.503
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (2243 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- dash
Continue your cycle research
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