Worldcoin WLD
WLD cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 71.0 bullish lean
38.7% below its 365-day high of $0.9640 (2025-10-26), +160.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules on 2026-10-18. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +101.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.2933 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 7.0 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.2933 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.4568 · 2026-10-18
- Position
- 1 of median 4.5 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.4568 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 34% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.4568 · 2026-10-18 (weekly)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.4568 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 32%
- Confirmed lows
- 89
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2933 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 7.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.4568 (Oct 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.4568 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Watch: 39% below the 2025-10-26 high; +160% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 93% decline over 11 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +101% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-10-21.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.52 (neutral); -69% from the all-time high.
Has Worldcoin bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the WLD snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2933 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.4568 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.4568 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Worldcoin below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 38.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.9640 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.0% relative to its all-time high of $11.74 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $3.95 · Sep 2025
- Trough
- $0.2933 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -92.6% over 11 months
- Above trough
- +101.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.4634
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.7720 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.4568 confirmed 2026-10-21 · trigger $0.5620
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 19.32 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.63 x | 2.7 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 50 # | 9 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 8148.5 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 50.01 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 14.0 % | 6.4 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.5 yrs | 2.8 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $2.27B
- Fully diluted
- $5.99B
- 24h volume
- $439.4M
- Circulating
- 3,795,229,144 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $11.74 · 2024-03-09 (-95.0%)
- TVL
- $45.5M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $22.9K
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $218.7K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.52 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.478
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-04-30 (540 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- worldcoin-wld
Continue your cycle research
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