Smart contract platform · rank #351

Kusama KSM

$3.87-0.2% 1d+8.6% 7d+22.4% 30d

Amber List Phoenix · weekly · score 72.5 bullish lean

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 3.99 (Apr 2026), month 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2.80 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 4.06. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 2.80 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 3.51 (2026-09-03), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 16%.
  • Amber List: 80% below the 2025-11-08 high; +38% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 96% decline over 32 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +38% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.96 (cheap); -82% vs the 200-week average; -95% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
2.8512.1251.502024-032025-062026-09low 2.80 (96%)false bottommonthly trigger 4.06

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 3g 1g
Confirmed low
$3.99 · 2026-04-30
Position
5 of median 4 (max 10)
Current low
$2.80 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$4.06
Cycle-low odds
56%
Confirmed lows
8

Weekly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$2.80 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$2.80 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
20%
Confirmed lows
40

Daily 2U

Last bars
3g 1r 2Ug 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$3.51 · 2026-09-03 (daily)
Position
4 of median 5 (max 19)
Current low
$3.51 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
16%
Confirmed lows
290

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$65.73 · Dec 2023
Trough
$2.80 · Aug 2026
Decline
-95.7% over 32 months
Above trough
+38.1%
Monthly
not yet · trigger $4.06
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$3.75 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 72.5
decline30
confirmation10
earliness22.5
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health73 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
21.99 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
351 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.3 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$72.4M
Fully diluted
$72.4M
24h volume
$15.9M
Circulating
18,788,956
All-time high
$621.71 · 2021-05-17 (-99.4%)
Mayer multiple
0.959 · cheap
vs 200-week avg
-81.6%
Pi cycle
0.287
On Coinbase since
2022-06-02 (1559 bars)
CoinGecko id
kusama