AI · rank #114

Artificial Superintelligence Alliance FET

FET cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.1975+0.3% 1d+0.1% 7d-3.6% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 bullish lean

57.0% below its 365-day high of $0.4590 (2025-11-07), +65.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.12150.55532.542024-052025-072026-10low 0.1193 (97%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.1845
Where it stands

On the Watch.

57% below its rolling 365-day high, 348 days after the high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +65.6% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
3r 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.1193 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5 (max 9)
Current low
$0.1193 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
34% · in band
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1g 3r 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.1484 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 20)
Current low
$0.1787 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2439
Cycle-low confidence
51% · in band
Confirmed lows
45

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.1787 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5.0 (max 30)
Current low
$0.1787 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
42%
Confirmed lows
361
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1193 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1484 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1787 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2439. Cycle-low confidence 51%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1787 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
  • Watch: 57% below the 2025-11-07 high; +66% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +66% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1887).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.04 (neutral); -71% vs the 200-week average; -94% from the all-time high.

Has Artificial Superintelligence Alliance bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FET snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1193 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1484 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1787 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2439, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1787 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Artificial Superintelligence Alliance below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 57.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.4590 from 2025-11-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.3% relative to its all-time high of $3.45 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$3.48 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.1193 · Aug 2026
Decline
-96.6% over 29 months
Above trough
+65.6%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1845
Weekly
confirmed (late (3 bars))
False bottom
$0.1338 · Feb 2026 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.1484 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1887
Score 65
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health81 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
20.96 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.17 x13.7 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
114 #6 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.2 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$518.2M
Fully diluted
$608.5M
24h volume
$108.6M
Circulating
2,311,508,384 of 2,714,384,547 max
All-time high
$3.45 · 2024-03-28 (-94.3%)
Mayer multiple
1.038 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-71.4%
Pi cycle
0.421
On Coinbase since
2021-07-27 (1913 bars)
CoinGecko id
fetch-ai check

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources