AI · rank #69

Venice Token VVV

VVV cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$25.98+2.0% 1d+11.7% 7d-18.7% 30d

Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 39.2 bullish lean

24.9% below its 365-day high of $34.60 (2026-09-21), +2724.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.955.5131.962025-012025-122026-10peak 23.51low 9.79 (58%)monthly trigger 15.03
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +165.4% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ur 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$9.79 · 2026-07-31
Position
3 of median 4.0 (max 5)
Current low
$9.79 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
5

Weekly 2U

Last bars
2Ur 2Dg 2Dr 1r 2Ug
Confirmed low
$15.71 · 2026-09-06
Position
7 of median 4 (max 11)
Current low
$20.50 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$30.25
Cycle-low confidence
44%
Confirmed lows
16

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$20.96 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$20.96 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
30%
Confirmed lows
116
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 9.79 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 15.71 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 20.50 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 30.25. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 20.96 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 30%.
  • Amber List: 25% below the 2026-09-21 high; +2724% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 58% decline over 18 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +165% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-13.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.63 (neutral); -19% from the all-time high.

Has Venice Token bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the VVV snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $9.79 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $15.71 from 2026-09-06. A newer candidate at $20.50 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $30.25, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $20.96 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Venice Token below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 24.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $34.60 from 2026-09-21. Separately, CoinGecko reports -24.8% relative to its all-time high of $34.53 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. First observed: Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$23.51 · Jan 2025
Trough
$9.79 · Jul 2026
Decline
-58.4% over 18 months
Above trough
+165.4%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $15.03
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $15.71 confirmed 2026-09-13 · trigger $18.51
Score 39.2
decline14.2
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health50 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
1.44 %3.1 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.68 x9.9 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
69 #9 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
113.2 x9.6 / 20
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
22.2 %7.2 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.7 yrs3.5 / 10
tvlcould not look — no source data

6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$1.35B
Fully diluted
$2.27B
24h volume
$19.5M
Circulating
48,318,432
All-time high
$34.53 · 2026-09-21 (-24.8%)
TVL
$0 (protocol)
Fees 30d
$979.8K
Revenue 30d
$979.8K
Fees 1y
$3.8M
Mayer multiple
1.627 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.878
On Coinbase since
2025-01-28 (632 bars)
CoinGecko id
venice-token

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources