AI · rank #151

The Graph GRT

GRT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0245-0.5% 1d-3.0% 7d+3.7% 30d

Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed

68.5% below its 365-day high of $0.0776 (2025-11-07), +89.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.013180.067680.34752024-052025-072026-10low 0.0129 (97%)monthly trigger 0.0193
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +89.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0129 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5.0 (max 14)
Current low
$0.0129 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
32% · in band
Confirmed lows
11

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.0169 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$0.0129 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
86% · in band
Confirmed lows
50

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 3g 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0227 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$0.0227 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
22%
Confirmed lows
388
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0129 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.01695 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 86%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02267 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Amber List: 68% below the 2025-11-07 high; +90% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +90% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.02272).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.15 (neutral); -80% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.

Has The Graph bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the GRT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0129 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0169 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0227 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is The Graph below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 68.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0776 from 2025-11-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.1% relative to its all-time high of $2.84 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.4963 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.0129 · Aug 2026
Decline
-97.4% over 29 months
Above trough
+89.7%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0193
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.0169 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0227
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health46 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
2.56 %6.9 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.06 x14.5 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
151 #3 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
1317.9 x0 / 20
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
1.3 %5.1 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.8 yrs10.0 / 10
tvlcould not look — no source data

6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$308.9M
Fully diluted
$327.8M
24h volume
$7.9M
Circulating
10,941,320,353
All-time high
$2.84 · 2021-02-11 (-99.1%)
TVL
$0 (protocol)
Fees 30d
$19.3K
Revenue 30d
$0
Fees 1y
$446.2K
Mayer multiple
1.151 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-79.9%
Pi cycle
0.349
On Coinbase since
2020-12-17 (2135 bars)
CoinGecko id
the-graph

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources