
Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL
VIRTUAL cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List held mixed
30.3% below its 365-day high of $0.9730 (2026-05-07), +36.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.5147 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 2 (max 2)
- Current low
- $0.4981 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 3r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.5750 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6.0 (max 7)
- Current low
- $0.6212 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.7539
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.6212 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.6212 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 23%
- Confirmed lows
- 33
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.5147 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.575 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.6212 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.7539.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6212 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 23%.
- Amber List: 30% below the 2026-05-07 high; +36% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: -27% from the all-time high.
Has Virtuals Protocol bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the VIRTUAL snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5147 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5750 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.6212 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.7539, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6212 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Virtuals Protocol below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 30.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.9730 from 2026-05-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -86.6% relative to its all-time high of $5.07 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-10-15. 7 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch → Amber List
- First observed: Watch
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.31 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.52 x | 11.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 113 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 110.1 x | 10.0 / 20 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -45.5 % | 0.5 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.5 yrs | 0.0 / 10 |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $525.2M
- Fully diluted
- $797.8M
- 24h volume
- $48.9M
- Circulating
- 658,385,842 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $5.07 · 2025-01-01 (-86.6%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $392.0K
- Revenue 30d
- $118.3K
- Fees 1y
- $14.9M
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-04-29 (176 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- virtual-protocol
Continue your cycle research
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