AI · rank #113

Virtuals Protocol VIRTUAL

VIRTUAL cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.6783-0.2% 1d+0.5% 7d-7.5% 30d

Amber List held mixed

30.3% below its 365-day high of $0.9730 (2026-05-07), +36.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.52420.69940.93322026-042026-072026-10high 0.973low 0.4981
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.5147 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 2 (max 2)
Current low
$0.4981 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 3r 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.5750 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 6.0 (max 7)
Current low
$0.6212 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.7539
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.6212 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 4.0 (max 13)
Current low
$0.6212 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
23%
Confirmed lows
33
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.5147 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.575 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.6212 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.7539.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6212 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 23%.
  • Amber List: 30% below the 2026-05-07 high; +36% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: -27% from the all-time high.

Has Virtuals Protocol bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the VIRTUAL snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5147 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5750 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.6212 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.7539, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6212 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Virtuals Protocol below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 30.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.9730 from 2026-05-07. Separately, CoinGecko reports -86.6% relative to its all-time high of $5.07 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-10-15. 7 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Watch → Amber List
  2. First observed: Watch

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health50 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
9.31 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.52 x11.1 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
113 #6 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
110.1 x10.0 / 20
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
-45.5 %0.5 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.5 yrs0.0 / 10
tvlcould not look — no source data

6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$525.2M
Fully diluted
$797.8M
24h volume
$48.9M
Circulating
658,385,842 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$5.07 · 2025-01-01 (-86.6%)
TVL
$0 (protocol)
Fees 30d
$392.0K
Revenue 30d
$118.3K
Fees 1y
$14.9M
On Coinbase since
2026-04-29 (176 bars)
CoinGecko id
virtual-protocol

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources