AI · rank #86

Render RENDER

$1.54-1.6% 1d+7.9% 7d+16.4% 30d

Watch Phoenix · weekly · score 62.5 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.12 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Current low 1.23 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.64. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.23 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.39 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
  • Watch: 63% below the 2025-09-19 high; +136% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 91% decline over 29 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +26% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.94 (cheap); -88% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
1.213.6711.152024-032025-062026-09peak 13.65low 1.23 (91%)monthly trigger 1.64

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 1g
Confirmed low
$1.12 · 2026-02-28
Position
7 of median 3 (max 6)
Current low
$1.23 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$1.64
Cycle-low odds
22% · in band
Confirmed lows
6

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 1g 1r
Confirmed low
$1.23 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 4.5 (max 15)
Current low
$1.23 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
35% · in band
Confirmed lows
21

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$1.39 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 19)
Current low
$1.39 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
14%
Confirmed lows
170

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$13.65 · Mar 2024
Trough
$1.23 · Aug 2026
Decline
-91.0% over 29 months
Above trough
+25.5%
Monthly
not yet · trigger $1.64
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 62.5
decline30
confirmation10
earliness22.5
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health76 / 100 · Strong
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
7.96 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.03 x14.8 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
86 #6 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
2.6 yrs5.9 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$798.3M
Fully diluted
$821.0M
24h volume
$63.6M
Circulating
518,772,101 of 644,245,094 max
All-time high
$13.53 · 2024-03-17 (-88.6%)
Mayer multiple
0.935 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.431
On Coinbase since
2024-02-15 (936 bars)
CoinGecko id
render-token