
AI · rank #86
Render RENDER
$1.54-1.6% 1d+7.9% 7d+16.4% 30d
Watch Phoenix · weekly · score 62.5 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.12 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Current low 1.23 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.64. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.23 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.39 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.
- Watch: 63% below the 2025-09-19 high; +136% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 91% decline over 29 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +26% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.94 (cheap); -88% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $1.12 · 2026-02-28
- Position
- 7 of median 3 (max 6)
- Current low
- $1.23 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.64
- Cycle-low odds
- 22% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1r 1g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.23 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 4 of median 4.5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $1.23 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 35% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 21
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.39 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $1.39 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 14%
- Confirmed lows
- 170
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $13.65 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $1.23 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -91.0% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +25.5%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $1.64
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 62.5
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 22.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health76 / 100 · Strong
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.96 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.03 x | 14.8 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 86 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.6 yrs | 5.9 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $798.3M
- Fully diluted
- $821.0M
- 24h volume
- $63.6M
- Circulating
- 518,772,101 of 644,245,094 max
- All-time high
- $13.53 · 2024-03-17 (-88.6%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.935 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.431
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-02-15 (936 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- render-token