Succinct PROVE
PROVE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 62.5 mixed
82.0% below its 365-day high of $1.03 (2025-10-24), +29.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +29.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1430 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 4)
- Current low
- $0.1430 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1430 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 12.5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.1763 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2064
- Cycle-low confidence
- 63% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2U
- Confirmed low
- $0.1785 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.1763 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 67% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 71
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.143 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.143 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 12.5. Current low 0.1763 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2064. Cycle-low confidence 63%.
- Daily: bar is a doji 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1785 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
- Red List: 82% below the 2025-10-24 high; +30% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 92% decline over 12 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +30% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.1763; it confirms above 0.2064.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.90 (cheap); -88% from the all-time high.
Has Succinct bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the PROVE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1430 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1430 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $0.1763 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2064, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1785 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Succinct below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.03 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -89.2% relative to its all-time high of $1.71 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.74 · Aug 2025
- Trough
- $0.1430 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -91.8% over 12 months
- Above trough
- +29.7%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1909
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- forming at $0.1763 · confirms above $0.2064
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 7.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 7.91 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 5.13 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 561 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.2 yrs | 2.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $42.0M
- Fully diluted
- $215.3M
- 24h volume
- $3.3M
- Circulating
- 195,000,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $1.71 · 2025-08-11 (-89.2%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.899 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.339
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-08-05 (443 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- succinct
Continue your cycle research
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