RedStone RED
RED cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 bullish lean
63.6% below its 365-day high of $0.3946 (2025-11-10), +73.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +73.9% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 3g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.0825 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.0825 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 3r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0825 · 2026-08-23
- Position
- 9 of median 3.5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.1319 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1883
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.1345 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5.0 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.1319 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 52%
- Confirmed lows
- 113
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0825 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0825 (Aug 2026), week 9 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Current low 0.1319 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1883. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1345 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Amber List: 64% below the 2025-11-10 high; +74% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 92% decline over 11 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +74% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.1319; it confirms above 0.1883.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.17 (neutral); -82% from the all-time high.
Has RedStone bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RED snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0825 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0825 from 2026-08-23. A newer candidate at $0.1319 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1883, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1345 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is RedStone below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 63.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3946 from 2025-11-10. Separately, CoinGecko reports -84.6% relative to its all-time high of $0.9325 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.01 · Sep 2025
- Trough
- $0.0825 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -91.8% over 11 months
- Above trough
- +73.9%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1421
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (4 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.2314 · Jun 2025 (3 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- forming at $0.1319 · confirms above $0.1883
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 4.28 % | 12.6 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.88 x | 8.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 306 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.6 yrs | 3.2 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $95.0M
- Fully diluted
- $178.2M
- 24h volume
- $4.1M
- Circulating
- 533,006,203 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.9325 · 2025-03-06 (-84.6%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.169 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.378
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-03-12 (589 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- redstone-oracles
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources