Oracle · rank #679

iExec RLC RLC

RLC cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.7161+1.8% 1d-14.4% 7d+106.2% 30d

Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed

51.7% below its 365-day high of $1.48 (2026-10-09), +193.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.24820.92723.462024-052025-072026-10low 0.2441 (95%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.378
Where it stands

Not on the Broken Coins list.

Not on the Broken Coins list: 52% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +193.4% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.2441 · 2026-07-31
Position
3 of median 5 (max 11)
Current low
$0.2441 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
27%
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 2D

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 1r 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.2600 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 4 (max 14)
Current low
$0.2600 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
36% · in band
Confirmed lows
50

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1r 1g
Confirmed low
$0.6512 · 2026-10-08 (daily)
Position
13 of median 5.0 (max 29)
Current low
$0.6826 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.7595
Cycle-low confidence
46%
Confirmed lows
363
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2441 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.26 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 36%.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6512 (2026-10-08), day 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.6826 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.7595. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Phoenix: 95% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +193% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.3416).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.83 (neutral); -48% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.

Has iExec RLC bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the RLC snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2441 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2600 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6512 from 2026-10-08. A newer candidate at $0.6826 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.7595, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is iExec RLC below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 51.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.48 from 2026-10-09. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.4% relative to its all-time high of $15.51 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
  2. Amber List → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  3. First observed: Amber List

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$4.79 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.2441 · Jul 2026
Decline
-94.9% over 28 months
Above trough
+193.4%
Monthly
confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.3780
Weekly
confirmed (late (8 bars))
False bottom
$0.7791 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #1 low $0.2600 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.3416
Score 65
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health63 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
3.38 %9.6 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
679 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.5 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$31.8M
Fully diluted
$31.8M
24h volume
$1.1M
Circulating
86,999,785 of 86,999,785 max
All-time high
$15.51 · 2021-05-10 (-95.4%)
Mayer multiple
1.829 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-48.0%
Pi cycle
0.404
On Coinbase since
2021-05-06 (1995 bars)
CoinGecko id
iexec-rlc

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources