Arcblock ABT
ABT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
64.2% below its 365-day high of $0.7999 (2025-10-27), +90.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
64% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +75.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.1630 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6.5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.1630 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 32% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg
- Confirmed low
- $0.1770 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.2765 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3058
- Cycle-low confidence
- 85% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 33
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ur 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2800 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.2765 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2910
- Cycle-low confidence
- 38%
- Confirmed lows
- 272
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.163 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6.5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.177 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.2765 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3058. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.28 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.2765 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.291. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
- Watch: 64% below the 2025-10-27 high; +91% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +76% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.22).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.18 (neutral); -63% vs the 200-week average; -94% from the all-time high.
Has Arcblock bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ABT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1630 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1770 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.2765 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3058, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2800 from 2026-10-18. A newer candidate at $0.2765 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2910, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Arcblock below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 64.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.7999 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -93.9% relative to its all-time high of $4.69 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $4.73 · May 2024
- Trough
- $0.1630 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.6% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +75.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.2372
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.1770 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2200
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.15 % | 0.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.89 x | 8.3 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 671 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $32.3M
- Fully diluted
- $61.0M
- 24h volume
- $49.3K
- Circulating
- 98,580,000
- All-time high
- $4.69 · 2024-05-21 (-93.9%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.181 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -62.6%
- Pi cycle
- 0.452
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-07-21 (1554 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- arcblock
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources