AI · rank #389

Allora ALLO

ALLO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.2047-0.9% 1d-9.7% 7d-22.8% 30d

Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 39.3 mixed

63.2% below its 365-day high of $0.5565 (2026-06-08), +346.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.0520.16390.51682025-112026-052026-10peak 0.4026low 0.0459 (89%)monthly trigger 0.169
Where it stands

On the Red List.

A crash of 14.0 daily-vol units over 20 days, 63% below its rolling 365-day high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +346.0% above the Feb 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ur 1g 1r 2Dg 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0809 · 2026-05-31
Position
5 of median 3 (max 3)
Current low
$0.0459 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 2D

Last bars
2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.1975 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 7 (max 11)
Current low
$0.2009 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2138
Cycle-low confidence
47%
Confirmed lows
6

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ur
Confirmed low
$0.1975 · 2026-09-16 (weekly)
Position
35 of median 4 (max 18)
Current low
$0.2009 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.2138
Cycle-low confidence
27% · in band
Confirmed lows
52
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0809 (May 2026), month 5 of a cycle that has typically run 3.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1975 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.2009 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2138. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1975 (2026-09-16), day 35 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.2009 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2138. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
  • Red List: 63% below the 2026-06-08 high; +346% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 89% decline over 3 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +346% above the trough; pullback #4 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.82 (cheap); -60% from the all-time high.

Has Allora bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ALLO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0809 from 2026-05-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1975 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.2009 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2138, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1975 from 2026-09-16. A newer candidate at $0.2009 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2138, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Allora below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 63.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5565 from 2026-06-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -87.2% relative to its all-time high of $1.60 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  3. Watch → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  4. First observed: Watch

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.4026 · Nov 2025
Trough
$0.0459 · Feb 2026
Decline
-88.6% over 3 months
Above trough
+346.0%
Monthly
confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.1690
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #4 low $0.1975 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2772
Score 39.3
decline29.3
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health23 / 100 · Weak
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
3.85 %11.2 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
3.09 x0.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
389 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
0.9 yrs1.3 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$68.2M
Fully diluted
$210.8M
24h volume
$2.6M
Circulating
254,963,353 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$1.60 · 2025-11-11 (-87.2%)
Mayer multiple
0.823 · cheap
On Coinbase since
2025-11-12 (344 bars)
CoinGecko id
allora

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources