Aptos APT
APT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
77.3% below its 365-day high of $3.66 (2025-10-26), +63.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
77% below its rolling 365-day high, 360 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +63.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3r 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.5085 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 9.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.5085 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 30%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.5242 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.5085 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 62% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 39
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.7333 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 21)
- Current low
- $0.7333 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 37%
- Confirmed lows
- 243
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.5085 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Cycle-low confidence 30%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.5242 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.7333 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 37%.
- Amber List: 77% below the 2025-10-26 high; +64% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +64% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.7938).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.12 (neutral); -86% vs the 200-week average; -96% from the all-time high.
Has Aptos bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the APT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5085 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.5242 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.7333 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Aptos below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 77.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $3.66 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.8% relative to its all-time high of $19.92 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $19.48 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.5085 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -97.4% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +63.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.7143
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.5242 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.7938
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.88 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.39 x | 12.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 99 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 403.7 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 15.92 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 42.5 % | 9.3 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $694.2M
- Fully diluted
- $963.9M
- 24h volume
- $47.7M
- Circulating
- 871,188,463 of 2,100,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $19.92 · 2023-01-26 (-95.8%)
- TVL
- $43.6M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $141.3K
- Revenue 30d
- $141.3K
- Fees 1y
- $1.2M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.117 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -86.5%
- Pi cycle
- 0.3
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-10-19 (1464 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- aptos
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources