Assemble AI ASM
ASM cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 bullish lean
62.0% below its 365-day high of $0.0160 (2025-10-31), +51.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
A crash of 7.1 daily-vol units over 20 days, 62% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +51.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3r 3g 1g 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.00401 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.00401 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 39% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Ug 1r 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.00489 · 2026-09-13
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.00489 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 26% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 38
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dg 2Ur 1g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00586 · 2026-10-17 (daily)
- Position
- 4 of median 5.0 (max 30)
- Current low
- $0.00578 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 57%
- Confirmed lows
- 329
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00401 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00489 (Sep 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00586 (2026-10-17), day 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 57%.
- Amber List: 62% below the 2025-10-31 high; +51% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 98% decline over 30 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +51% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.0054).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.07 (neutral); -72% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.
Has Assemble AI bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ASM snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00401 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00489 from 2026-09-13. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00586 from 2026-10-17. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Assemble AI below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 62.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0160 from 2025-10-31. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.1% relative to its all-time high of $0.6451 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.1790 · Feb 2024
- Trough
- $0.00401 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -97.8% over 30 months
- Above trough
- +51.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.00745
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.00489 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0054
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.0 % | 1.7 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.99 x | 7.6 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1333 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.0 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $9.2M
- Fully diluted
- $18.4M
- 24h volume
- $92.7K
- Circulating
- 1,505,630,909 of 3,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.6451 · 2021-04-25 (-99.1%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.068 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -71.5%
- Pi cycle
- 0.36
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-10-21 (1827 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- assemble-protocol
Continue your cycle research
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