Aethir ATH
ATH cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 65 bullish lean
82.6% below its 365-day high of $0.0325 (2025-10-27), +55.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +55.8% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.00363 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 6 (max 7)
- Current low
- $0.00363 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 1r 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0041 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.00519 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00674
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50%
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ur 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.00519 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.00519 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 52% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 103
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00363 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0041 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.005186 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.006741. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.005186 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Red List: 83% below the 2025-10-27 high; +56% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 95% decline over 11 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +56% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.005619).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.08 (neutral); -91% from the all-time high.
Has Aethir bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ATH snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00363 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0041 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00519 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00674, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00519 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Aethir below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0325 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.2% relative to its all-time high of $0.1185 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0690 · Sep 2025
- Trough
- $0.00363 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -94.7% over 11 months
- Above trough
- +55.8%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00559
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.0251 · Jul 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0041 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00562
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 30.78 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.09 x | 6.9 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 236 # | 3 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 3.9 x | 20.0 / 20 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -40.9 % | 0.9 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.6 yrs | 3.2 / 10 |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $144.2M
- Fully diluted
- $300.8M
- 24h volume
- $44.4M
- Circulating
- 20,128,764,593 of 42,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.1185 · 2024-06-12 (-95.2%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $3.0M
- Revenue 30d
- $609.1K
- Fees 1y
- $63.1M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.08 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.332
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-03-13 (588 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- aethir
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources