Berachain BERA
BERA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Falling bearish lean
91.7% below its 365-day high of $2.07 (2025-10-23), +24.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
92% below its rolling 365-day high, 363 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.1376 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 14 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.1590 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2545
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 3r 2Dg 3r 2Dg
- Confirmed low
- $0.1376 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 10 of median 7 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.1590 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1747
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2064 · 2026-10-13 (daily)
- Position
- 8 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.1590 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1739
- Cycle-low confidence
- 92% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 109
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1376 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 14. Current low 0.159 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2545.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1376 (Aug 2026), week 10 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.159 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1747. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2064 (2026-10-13), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.159 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1739. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Red List: 92% below the 2025-10-23 high; +24% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.67 (cheap); -98% from the all-time high.
Has Berachain bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BERA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1376 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $0.1590 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2545, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1376 from 2026-08-16. A newer candidate at $0.1590 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1747, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2064 from 2026-10-13. A newer candidate at $0.1590 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1739, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Berachain below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 91.7% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.07 from 2025-10-23. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.8% relative to its all-time high of $14.83 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 8.13 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.67 x | 10.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 354 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 3583.1 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 2.37 x | 12.7 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -36.9 % | 1.3 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.7 yrs | 3.4 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $76.0M
- Fully diluted
- $127.0M
- 24h volume
- $6.2M
- Circulating
- 335,841,503
- All-time high
- $14.83 · 2025-02-06 (-98.8%)
- TVL
- $32.0M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $1.7K
- Revenue 30d
- $1.7K
- Fees 1y
- $62.4K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.673 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.206
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-02-06 (623 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- berachain-bera
Continue your cycle research
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