AI · rank #1241

Cookie DAO COOKIE

COOKIE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.0095-0.4% 1d-10.2% 7d-22.7% 30d

Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed

91.0% below its 365-day high of $0.1054 (2025-10-26), +28.6% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
0.00750.047510.30092025-042026-012026-10peak 0.368low 0.00739 (98%)monthly trigger 0.01103
Where it stands

On the Red List.

91% below its rolling 365-day high, 360 days after the high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +28.6% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 1g 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.00739 · 2026-07-31
Position
3 of median 15 (max 15)
Current low
$0.00739 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
2

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 1g 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.00947 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 4.5 (max 10)
Current low
$0.00884 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.0124
Cycle-low confidence
84% · in band
Confirmed lows
15

Daily 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.00884 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5.0 (max 30)
Current low
$0.00884 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
85%
Confirmed lows
93
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.00739 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 15.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.009466 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.008842 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.01238. Cycle-low confidence 84%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.008842 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
  • Red List: 91% below the 2025-10-26 high; +29% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 98% decline over 14 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +29% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.79 (cheap); -97% from the all-time high.

Has Cookie DAO bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the COOKIE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00739 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00947 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00884 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0124, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00884 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Cookie DAO below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 91.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.1054 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.7536 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.3680 · May 2025
Trough
$0.00739 · Jul 2026
Decline
-98.0% over 14 months
Above trough
+28.6%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0110
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #2 low $0.00947 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0114
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health57 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
12.31 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.25 x13.2 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
1241 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.6 yrs3.2 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$10.6M
Fully diluted
$13.1M
24h volume
$1.3M
Circulating
802,957,476 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$0.7536 · 2025-01-10 (-98.7%)
TVL
$0 (protocol)
Fees 30d
—
Revenue 30d
—
Fees 1y
—
Mayer multiple
0.787 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.241
On Coinbase since
2025-03-11 (590 bars)
CoinGecko id
cookie

Continue your cycle research

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