Diem DIEM
DIEM cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch held bullish lean
26.3% below its 365-day high of $2,580 (2026-09-09), +84.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
Held on the Watch: it last met the Watch rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1,155 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median ? (max ?)
- Current low
- $1,068 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 1
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 2Dg 2Dr 1r 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1,414 · 2026-09-06
- Position
- 7 of median 4 (max 7)
- Current low
- $1,543 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $2,149
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $1,572 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $1,572 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33%
- Confirmed lows
- 43
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,155 (Jul 2026).
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1,414 (Sep 2026), week 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 1,543 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2,149.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1,572 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Watch: 26% below the 2026-09-09 high; +84% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: -18% from the all-time high.
Has Diem bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the DIEM snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1,155 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $1,414 from 2026-09-06. A newer candidate at $1,543 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $2,149, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $1,572 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Diem below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 26.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $2,580 from 2026-09-09. Separately, CoinGecko reports -25.9% relative to its all-time high of $2,566 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-10-08. 14 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List → Watch
- First observed: Amber List
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 1.05 % | 1.8 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 371 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.5 yrs | 0.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $72.4M
- Fully diluted
- $72.4M
- 24h volume
- $763.6K
- Circulating
- 36,669
- All-time high
- $2,566 · 2026-09-09 (-25.9%)
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-04-22 (183 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- diem
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources