Derive DRV
DRV cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
bullish lean
30.2% below its 365-day high of $0.5681 (2026-10-10), +421.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
Not on the Broken Coins list.
Not on the Broken Coins list: 30% below its rolling 365-day high, under the 50% Watch line, and no crash trigger.
A baseline for the next check.
Recorded observations begin with the 2026-09-18 scan. There is no earlier one to compare.
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 3g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0910 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median ? (max ?)
- Current low
- $0.0779 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 1
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 3g 1r 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1348 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6.0 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.3410 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.5681
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Daily
- Last bars
- 1g 2Dr 1g 2Ur 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.3674 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.3623 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.4118
- Cycle-low confidence
- 54%
- Confirmed lows
- 24
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.091 (Aug 2026).
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1348 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.341 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.5681.
- Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.3674 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3623 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.4118. Cycle-low confidence 54%.
- Gauges: -26% from the all-time high.
Has Derive bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the DRV snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0910 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1348 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3410 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.5681, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3674 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.3623 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.4118, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Derive below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 30.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5681 from 2026-10-10. Separately, CoinGecko reports -22.1% relative to its all-time high of $0.5089 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesHistory starts with the 2026-09-18 scan. Nothing earlier was recorded, so nothing earlier is shown.
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.89 % | 8.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.5 x | 11.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 129 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.4 yrs | 0.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $398.7M
- Fully diluted
- $598.3M
- 24h volume
- $11.5M
- Circulating
- 999,651,428 of 1,500,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.5089 · 2026-09-19 (-22.1%)
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-05-28 (147 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- derive
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources