Stacks STX
STX cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
24.8% below its 365-day high of $0.4747 (2025-10-26), +203.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +203.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.1176 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 7.0 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.1176 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 31%
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1g 2Ug 1g 3r 2Dg
- Confirmed low
- $0.2286 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.3347 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3846
- Cycle-low confidence
- 53% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 40
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Dr 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3347 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.3347 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 308
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1176 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Cycle-low confidence 31%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.2286 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3347 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3846. Cycle-low confidence 53%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.3347 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Amber List: 25% below the 2025-10-26 high; +204% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +204% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-10-04 (trigger 0.3999).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.55 (neutral); -62% vs the 200-week average; -90% from the all-time high.
Has Stacks bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the STX snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1176 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2286 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3347 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3846, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3347 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Stacks below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 24.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.4747 from 2025-10-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -90.8% relative to its all-time high of $3.86 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $3.85 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.1176 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.9% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +203.7%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.2900
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.2286 confirmed 2026-10-04 · trigger $0.3999
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.71 % | 10.7 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 96 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 1241.9 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 9.14 x | 1.4 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -4.1 % | 4.6 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.8 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $710.8M
- Fully diluted
- $710.8M
- 24h volume
- $26.4M
- Circulating
- 1,871,495,577
- All-time high
- $3.86 · 2024-04-01 (-90.8%)
- TVL
- $77.8M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $47.0K
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $229.6K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.553 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -61.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.471
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-01-20 (1736 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- blockstack
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources