Starknet STRK
STRK cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 65 mixed
79.5% below its 365-day high of $0.2800 (2025-11-20), +159.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
80% below its rolling 365-day high, 335 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +159.1% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0222 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4.0 (max 6)
- Current low
- $0.0222 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 26%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Ug 2Ug 1r 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0261 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.0222 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 63% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 22
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0480 · 2026-10-08 (daily)
- Position
- 13 of median 5.0 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.0547 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0603
- Cycle-low confidence
- 66% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 153
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.02219 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.02606 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 63%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.04799 (2026-10-08), day 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0547 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.06028. Cycle-low confidence 66%.
- Amber List: 80% below the 2025-11-20 high; +159% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +159% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-10-04 (trigger 0.05087).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.55 (neutral); -98% from the all-time high.
Has Starknet bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the STRK snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0222 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0261 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0480 from 2026-10-08. A newer candidate at $0.0547 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0603, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Starknet below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 79.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2800 from 2025-11-20. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.7% relative to its all-time high of $4.41 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.78 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0222 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -99.2% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +159.1%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0307
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0960 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0261 confirmed 2026-10-04 · trigger $0.0509
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 38.05 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.35 x | 12.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 128 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 125.9 x | 8.2 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 2.57 x | 12.4 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 18.4 % | 6.8 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.7 yrs | 6.2 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $405.3M
- Fully diluted
- $546.1M
- 24h volume
- $154.2M
- Circulating
- 7,421,949,506 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $4.41 · 2024-02-20 (-98.7%)
- TVL
- $158.0M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $264.6K
- Revenue 30d
- $261.6K
- Fees 1y
- $2.0M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.553 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.328
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-02-21 (974 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- starknet
Continue your cycle research
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