Elastos ELA
ELA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held Phoenix · weekly · score 40 mixed
82.2% below its 365-day high of $1.92 (2025-11-16), +51.3% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +51.3% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3r 1g 1g 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.4170 · 2026-04-30
- Position
- 6 of median 7 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.2260 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.5950
- Cycle-low confidence
- 62%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 3r 2Dr 2Dg
- Confirmed low
- $0.2710 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 28)
- Current low
- $0.3010 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3460
- Cycle-low confidence
- 38% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 35
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dg 1g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.3010 · 2026-10-19 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 29)
- Current low
- $0.3010 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 37%
- Confirmed lows
- 257
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.417 (Apr 2026), month 6 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.226 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.595. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.271 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.301 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.346. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.301 (2026-10-19), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 37%.
- Red List: 82% below the 2025-11-16 high; +51% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 31 months, weekly swing low confirmed (late (4 bars)), now +51% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.95 (cheap); -78% vs the 200-week average; -94% from the all-time high.
Has Elastos bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ELA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.4170 from 2026-04-30. A newer candidate at $0.2260 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.5950, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2710 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.3010 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3460, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.3010 from 2026-10-19. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Elastos below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 82.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.92 from 2025-11-16. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.6% relative to its all-time high of $89.14 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $7.50 · Dec 2023
- Trough
- $0.2260 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -97.0% over 31 months
- Above trough
- +51.3%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.5950
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (4 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.2710 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.3390
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.19 % | 5.6 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.14 x | 14.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1347 # | 0 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 48.06 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $9.1M
- Fully diluted
- $10.3M
- 24h volume
- $198.4K
- Circulating
- 23,088,698 of 28,219,999 max
- All-time high
- $89.14 · 2018-02-23 (-99.6%)
- TVL
- $188.9K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 0.952 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -78.4%
- Pi cycle
- 0.261
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-06-22 (1583 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- elastos
Continue your cycle research
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