Elsa ELSA
ELSA cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held mixed
84.9% below its 365-day high of $0.4258 (2026-01-22), +69.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-17. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0406 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 2 (max 2)
- Current low
- $0.0379 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 3r 2Dr 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0482 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 6.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0482 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 1r 1r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0484 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.0482 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 53%
- Confirmed lows
- 48
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.04058 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 2.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.04819 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.04839 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 53%.
- Red List: 85% below the 2026-01-22 high; +70% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.15 (neutral); -64% from the all-time high.
Has Elsa bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ELSA snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0406 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0482 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0484 from 2026-10-15. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Elsa below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 84.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.4258 from 2026-01-22. Separately, CoinGecko reports -83.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.4004 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 10.86 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 4.37 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 1146 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.8 yrs | 0.7 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $12.4M
- Fully diluted
- $54.2M
- 24h volume
- $1.3M
- Circulating
- 228,980,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.4004 · 2026-01-21 (-83.9%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.153 · neutral
- On Coinbase since
- 2026-01-20 (275 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- elsa
Continue your cycle research
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