Flow FLOW
FLOW cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 61.0 bullish lean
89.9% below its 365-day high of $0.3020 (2025-11-08), +29.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
90% below its rolling 365-day high, 347 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +29.4% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ur 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $0.0237 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.0237 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 56%
- Confirmed lows
- 9
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 3g 2Ur 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0285 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.0285 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 38
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0292 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 28)
- Current low
- $0.0286 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0310
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50%
- Confirmed lows
- 286
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.02365 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 56%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.02851 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.02918 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.02864 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.03101. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Red List: 90% below the 2025-11-08 high; +29% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 99% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +29% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-10-18.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.98 (cheap); -94% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has Flow bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FLOW snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0237 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0285 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0292 from 2026-10-20. A newer candidate at $0.0286 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0310, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Flow below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 89.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3020 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.9% relative to its all-time high of $42.40 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.70 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0237 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -98.6% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +29.4%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0320
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.0285 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $0.0372
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 13.34 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 459 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 24569.6 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 5.12 x | 8.1 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -40.9 % | 0.9 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.4 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $55.4M
- Fully diluted
- $55.4M
- 24h volume
- $7.4M
- Circulating
- 1,693,297,501
- All-time high
- $42.40 · 2021-04-05 (-99.9%)
- TVL
- $10.8M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $185
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $2.0K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.984 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -94.0%
- Pi cycle
- 0.214
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-05-19 (1617 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- flow
Continue your cycle research
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