Flare FLR
FLR cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List held Phoenix · weekly · score 49.8 mixed
66.8% below its 365-day high of $0.0192 (2025-10-24), +9.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-20. Today it reads Amber List; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Phoenix weekly: stopped falling by the rules, +9.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 3g 1g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00725 · 2026-04-30
- Position
- 6 of median 7.5 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.00585 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00825
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.00623 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 6.0 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.00629 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00677
- Cycle-low confidence
- 39% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 25
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ur 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0063 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.00629 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00645
- Cycle-low confidence
- 41%
- Confirmed lows
- 224
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00725 (Apr 2026), month 6 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Current low 0.00585 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00825. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.00623 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.006286 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.006772. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.006299 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.006286 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.006449. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
- Red List: 67% below the 2025-10-24 high; +9% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 90% decline over 30 months, weekly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +9% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.90 (cheap); -88% from the all-time high.
Has Flare bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the FLR snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00725 from 2026-04-30. A newer candidate at $0.00585 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00825, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00623 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00629 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00677, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0063 from 2026-10-18. A newer candidate at $0.00629 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00645, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Flare below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 66.8% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0192 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.1501 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0560 · Feb 2024
- Trough
- $0.00585 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -89.6% over 30 months
- Above trough
- +9.4%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.00825
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.0151 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.00623 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00685
| decline | 29.8 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.39 % | 0.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.23 x | 13.3 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 103 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 2409.2 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 3.4 x | 11.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -30.7 % | 1.9 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.5 yrs | 8.6 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $626.3M
- Fully diluted
- $767.3M
- 24h volume
- $2.5M
- Circulating
- 87,078,594,268
- All-time high
- $0.1501 · 2023-01-09 (-95.7%)
- TVL
- $184.0M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $21.4K
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- $209.8K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.899 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.379
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-04-14 (1287 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- flare-networks
Continue your cycle research
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