
Gnosis GNO
GNO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 45.1 mixed
40.3% below its 365-day high of $191.93 (2026-05-02), +30.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +30.2% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1g 1g 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $88.00 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 4.0 (max 8)
- Current low
- $88.00 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 27%
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $110.93 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $110.11 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $120.83
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 40
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 1r 2Ug 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $110.11 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 23)
- Current low
- $110.89 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $115.18
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 279
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 88.00 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 110.93 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 110.11 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 120.83. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 110.11 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 110.89 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 115.18. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Amber List: 40% below the 2026-05-02 high; +30% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 80% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +30% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (neutral); -30% vs the 200-week average; -74% from the all-time high.
Has Gnosis bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the GNO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $88.00 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $110.93 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $110.11 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $120.83, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $110.11 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $110.89 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $115.18, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Gnosis below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 40.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $191.93 from 2026-05-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -82.2% relative to its all-time high of $644.20 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $446.99 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $88.00 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -80.3% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +30.2%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $131.57
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (6 bars))
- False bottom
- $93.90 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $110.93 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $122.61
| decline | 25.1 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.26 % | 0.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.14 x | 14.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 149 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 3973.7 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 3.34 x | 11.1 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -23.5 % | 2.7 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $312.7M
- Fully diluted
- $355.4M
- 24h volume
- $812.7K
- Circulating
- 2,639,589 of 3,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $644.20 · 2021-11-08 (-82.2%)
- TVL
- $93.7M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $6.5K
- Revenue 30d
- $0
- Fees 1y
- $126.1K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.003 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -29.7%
- Pi cycle
- 0.471
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-07-21 (1554 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- gnosis
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources