Layer 1 · rank #149

Gnosis GNO

GNO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$114.55-0.2% 1d+1.4% 7d-2.2% 30d

Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 45.1 mixed

40.3% below its 365-day high of $191.93 (2026-05-02), +30.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
90.54183.78373.042024-052025-072026-10low 88.00 (80%)false bottommonthly trigger 131.57
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it meets no tier rule; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +30.2% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1g 1g 2Dr
Confirmed low
$88.00 · 2026-06-30
Position
4 of median 4.0 (max 8)
Current low
$88.00 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
27%
Confirmed lows
11

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$110.93 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5 (max 18)
Current low
$110.11 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$120.83
Cycle-low confidence
46% · in band
Confirmed lows
40

Daily 1

Last bars
3r 1r 2Ug 2Dg 1g
Confirmed low
$110.11 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
Position
6 of median 5.0 (max 23)
Current low
$110.89 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$115.18
Cycle-low confidence
22% · in band
Confirmed lows
279
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 88.00 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 110.93 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 110.11 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 120.83. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 110.11 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 110.89 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 115.18. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Amber List: 40% below the 2026-05-02 high; +30% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 80% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +30% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-27.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.00 (neutral); -30% vs the 200-week average; -74% from the all-time high.

Has Gnosis bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the GNO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $88.00 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $110.93 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $110.11 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $120.83, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $110.11 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $110.89 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $115.18, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Gnosis below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 40.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $191.93 from 2026-05-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -82.2% relative to its all-time high of $644.20 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  2. Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  3. First observed: Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$446.99 · Mar 2024
Trough
$88.00 · Jun 2026
Decline
-80.3% over 27 months
Above trough
+30.2%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $131.57
Weekly
confirmed (late (6 bars))
False bottom
$93.90 · Feb 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
pullback #3 low $110.93 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $122.61
Score 45.1
decline25.1
confirmation25
earliness0
stale-15
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health44 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
0.26 %0.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.14 x14.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
149 #6 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
3973.7 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
3.34 x11.1 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
-23.5 %2.7 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.3 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$312.7M
Fully diluted
$355.4M
24h volume
$812.7K
Circulating
2,639,589 of 3,000,000 max
All-time high
$644.20 · 2021-11-08 (-82.2%)
TVL
$93.7M (chain)
Fees 30d
$6.5K
Revenue 30d
$0
Fees 1y
$126.1K
Mayer multiple
1.003 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-29.7%
Pi cycle
0.471
On Coinbase since
2022-07-21 (1554 bars)
CoinGecko id
gnosis

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources