Layer 1 · rank #57

Internet Computer ICP

ICP cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$2.93+0.5% 1d-4.2% 7d-3.3% 30d

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 bullish lean

70.2% below its 365-day high of $9.83 (2025-11-08), +46.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

From the peak to today, log scale
2.025.5515.252024-052025-072026-10low 2.00 (90%)monthly trigger 2.71
Where it stands

On the Amber List.

70% below its rolling 365-day high, 347 days after the high.

Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.

Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +46.4% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 3g 2Ug 2Ur
Confirmed low
$2.00 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5.5 (max 14)
Current low
$2.00 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
41% · in band
Confirmed lows
11

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ug 3g 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$2.43 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 18)
Current low
$2.76 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$3.53
Cycle-low confidence
48% · in band
Confirmed lows
49

Daily 2U

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
Confirmed low
$2.79 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
Position
1 of median 4 (max 22)
Current low
$2.76 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
48%
Confirmed lows
374
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 2.00 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Cycle-low confidence 41%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2.43 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 2.76 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 3.53. Cycle-low confidence 48%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 2.79 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 48%.
  • Amber List: 70% below the 2025-11-08 high; +46% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 90% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +46% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 2.97).
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.15 (neutral); -52% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.

Has Internet Computer bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ICP snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.00 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $2.43 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $2.76 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $3.53, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $2.79 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Internet Computer below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 70.2% below its rolling 365-day high of $9.83 from 2025-11-08. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.6% relative to its all-time high of $700.65 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$20.96 · Mar 2024
Trough
$2.00 · Aug 2026
Decline
-90.5% over 29 months
Above trough
+46.4%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $2.71
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
pullback #1 low $2.43 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $2.97
Score 55
decline30
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health45 / 100 · Thin
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
2.32 %6.1 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.0 x15.0 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
57 #9 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees)
fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)
863.2 x0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
214.62 x0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d)
is usage growing into the recovery
-1.1 %4.9 / 10
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
5.4 yrs10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$1.87B
Fully diluted
$1.87B
24h volume
$43.3M
Circulating
557,028,957
All-time high
$700.65 · 2021-05-10 (-99.6%)
TVL
$8.7M (chain)
Fees 30d
$178.0K
Revenue 30d
$184.6K
Fees 1y
$2.0M
Mayer multiple
1.148 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-52.2%
Pi cycle
0.449
On Coinbase since
2021-05-10 (1991 bars)
CoinGecko id
internet-computer

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources