KAITO KAITO
KAITO cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List mixed
79.6% below its 365-day high of $1.38 (2026-07-29), +7.2% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
80% below its rolling 365-day high, 84 days after the high.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 3g 2Ug 2Dr 2Dg 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.4007 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 7.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.2612 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3691
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2790 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.5 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.2612 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3231
- Cycle-low confidence
- 49% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 13
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2612 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.2612 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 52%
- Confirmed lows
- 104
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.4007 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7. Current low 0.2612 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3691.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.279 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5.5. Current low 0.2612 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3231. Cycle-low confidence 49%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2612 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
- Red List: 80% below the 2026-07-29 high; +7% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.56 (cheap); -89% from the all-time high.
Has KAITO bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KAITO snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.4007 from 2026-06-30. A newer candidate at $0.2612 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3691, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2790 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.2612 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.3231, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2612 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is KAITO below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 79.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.38 from 2026-07-29. Separately, CoinGecko reports -90.3% relative to its all-time high of $2.88 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Red List · Phoenix weekly
- Amber List → Amber List · Phoenix weekly
- First observed: Amber List
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 29.75 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 4.14 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 330 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.7 yrs | 3.3 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $83.5M
- Fully diluted
- $346.1M
- 24h volume
- $24.9M
- Circulating
- 241,388,889 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $2.88 · 2025-02-27 (-90.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.565 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.523
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-02-20 (609 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- kaito
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources