Kite KITE
KITE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 46.1 mixed
62.1% below its 365-day high of $0.3225 (2026-03-06), +101.1% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +36.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0896 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 4)
- Current low
- $0.0896 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0972 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.1106 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1419
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 8
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 2Ug 2Ur 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1106 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 4 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.1106 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 72
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.08961 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.09716 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.1106 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1419. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1106 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Amber List: 62% below the 2026-03-06 high; +101% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 72% decline over 5 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +36% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.1177).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.87 (cheap); -59% from the all-time high.
Has Kite bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the KITE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0896 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0972 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1106 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1419, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1106 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Kite below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 62.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.3225 from 2026-03-06. Separately, CoinGecko reports -61.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.3197 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.3225 · Mar 2026
- Trough
- $0.0896 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -72.2% over 5 months
- Above trough
- +36.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.1406
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0972 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.1177
| decline | 21.1 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 5.48 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 4.18 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 133 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.0 yrs | 1.3 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $372.0M
- Fully diluted
- $1.56B
- 24h volume
- $20.4M
- Circulating
- 2,391,196,012 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.3197 · 2026-03-06 (-61.7%)
- Mayer multiple
- 0.874 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.413
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-11-03 (353 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- kite-2
Continue your cycle research
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