Livepeer LPT
LPT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
75.5% below its 365-day high of $6.75 (2025-11-02), +42.7% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
76% below its rolling 365-day high, 353 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +42.7% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Ur
- Confirmed low
- $1.16 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 16)
- Current low
- $1.16 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 37% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Ug 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $1.28 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 14)
- Current low
- $1.57 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.82
- Cycle-low confidence
- 46% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 45
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $1.61 · 2026-10-13 (daily)
- Position
- 8 of median 5.0 (max 22)
- Current low
- $1.57 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $1.73
- Cycle-low confidence
- 47%
- Confirmed lows
- 345
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 1.16 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 37%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.28 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 1.57 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.82. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.61 (2026-10-13), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 1.57 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.73. Cycle-low confidence 47%.
- Amber List: 76% below the 2025-11-02 high; +43% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 96% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +43% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 1.68).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.96 (cheap); -78% vs the 200-week average; -98% from the all-time high.
Has Livepeer bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the LPT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.16 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $1.28 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $1.57 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.82, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $1.61 from 2026-10-13. A newer candidate at $1.57 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $1.73, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Livepeer below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 75.5% below its rolling 365-day high of $6.75 from 2025-11-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.3% relative to its all-time high of $99.03 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $27.48 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $1.16 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -95.8% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +42.7%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $1.58
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $1.28 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $1.68
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 15.72 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 321 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 265.2 x | 0 / 20 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -70.3 % | 0.0 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 5.3 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
6 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $86.7M
- Fully diluted
- $86.7M
- 24h volume
- $13.6M
- Circulating
- 49,688,955
- All-time high
- $99.03 · 2021-11-09 (-98.3%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $26.9K
- Revenue 30d
- $26.9K
- Fees 1y
- $675.3K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.965 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -77.9%
- Pi cycle
- 0.325
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-06-24 (1946 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- livepeer
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources