Monad MON
MON cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 26.7 mixed
55.1% below its 365-day high of $0.0493 (2025-11-26), +38.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
A crash of 7.3 daily-vol units over 20 days, 55% below its rolling 365-day high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +22.5% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1g 3r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0180 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 4 (max 4)
- Current low
- $0.0180 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 2
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0209 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.0199 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0276
- Cycle-low confidence
- 96% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0205 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 4 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.0199 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 72%
- Confirmed lows
- 66
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red outside bar (3). Last confirmed swing low 0.01804 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0209 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.0199 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.02759. Cycle-low confidence 96%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.02048 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 72%.
- Amber List: 55% below the 2025-11-26 high; +38% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 63% decline over 7 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +22% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.87 (cheap); -53% from the all-time high.
Has Monad bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the MON snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0180 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0209 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0199 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0276, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0205 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Monad below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 55.1% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0493 from 2025-11-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -54.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.0488 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-20. 32 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Phoenix monthly
- Watch → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0493 · Nov 2025
- Trough
- $0.0180 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -63.4% over 7 months
- Above trough
- +22.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0240
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.0209 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0257
| decline | 16.7 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 11.41 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 8.51 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 127 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 76.4 x | 13.7 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 0.4 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 0.1 % | 5.0 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 0.9 yrs | 1.2 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $408.2M
- Fully diluted
- $3.48B
- 24h volume
- $46.6M
- Circulating
- 11,825,165,000
- All-time high
- $0.0488 · 2025-11-26 (-54.7%)
- TVL
- $1.01B (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $438.8K
- Revenue 30d
- $373.2K
- Fees 1y
- $2.4M
- Mayer multiple
- 0.873 · cheap
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-11-24 (332 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- monad
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources