Oasis ROSE
ROSE cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
71.9% below its 365-day high of $0.0267 (2026-01-26), +50.0% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
72% below its rolling 365-day high, 268 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +50.0% above the Jul 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.005 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 3 of median 6 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.005 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 44% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 10
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0061 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 4.5 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.00694 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00919
- Cycle-low confidence
- 50% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 41
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 3g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00713 · 2026-10-08 (daily)
- Position
- 13 of median 5.0 (max 26)
- Current low
- $0.00694 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00759
- Cycle-low confidence
- 78%
- Confirmed lows
- 295
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.005 (Jul 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0061 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.00694 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.009193. Cycle-low confidence 50%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.007129 (2026-10-08), day 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.00694 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.007594. Cycle-low confidence 78%.
- Amber List: 72% below the 2026-01-26 high; +50% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +50% above the trough; pullback #2 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.98 (cheap); -85% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.
Has Oasis bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ROSE snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.005 from 2026-07-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0061 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00694 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00919, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00713 from 2026-10-08. A newer candidate at $0.00694 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00759, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Oasis below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 71.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0267 from 2026-01-26. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.7% relative to its all-time high of $0.5973 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.1858 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.005 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -97.3% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +50.0%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.00627
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #2 low $0.0061 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.00807
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.28 % | 5.9 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.24 x | 13.2 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 392 # | 0 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 295.48 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.5 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $67.2M
- Fully diluted
- $83.5M
- 24h volume
- $1.5M
- Circulating
- 8,041,868,544 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.5973 · 2022-01-14 (-98.7%)
- TVL
- $227.3K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 0.981 · cheap
- vs 200-week avg
- -85.2%
- Pi cycle
- 0.319
- On Coinbase since
- 2022-04-26 (1640 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- oasis-network
Continue your cycle research
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