Sei SEI
SEI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 55 mixed
71.0% below its 365-day high of $0.2114 (2025-10-27), +60.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
71% below its rolling 365-day high, 359 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +60.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0382 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.0382 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 25%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0411 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 15)
- Current low
- $0.0577 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0714
- Cycle-low confidence
- 64% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 28
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1r 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.0577 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 20)
- Current low
- $0.0583 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0635
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 205
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.03824 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.04115 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.05767 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.07144. Cycle-low confidence 64%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.05767 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0583 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.06351. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Amber List: 71% below the 2025-10-27 high; +60% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 97% decline over 29 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +60% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.05444).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.13 (neutral); -94% from the all-time high.
Has Sei bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SEI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0382 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0411 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.0577 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0714, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0577 from 2026-10-15. A newer candidate at $0.0583 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0635, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Sei below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 71.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.2114 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -94.6% relative to its all-time high of $1.14 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.15 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.0382 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -96.7% over 29 months
- Above trough
- +60.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.0510
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (3 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.0411 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.0544
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 8.07 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.49 x | 11.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 120 # | 6 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 12457.1 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 15.03 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 246.4 % | 10.0 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.2 yrs | 7.7 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $485.4M
- Fully diluted
- $720.9M
- 24h volume
- $39.2M
- Circulating
- 6,733,333,333
- All-time high
- $1.14 · 2024-03-15 (-94.6%)
- TVL
- $32.3M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $3.2K
- Revenue 30d
- $3.2K
- Fees 1y
- $72.4K
- Mayer multiple
- 1.129 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.343
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-08-15 (1164 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- sei-network
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources