Sui SUI
SUI cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 54.1 mixed
62.3% below its 365-day high of $2.72 (2025-10-27), +61.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules on 2026-10-18. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +61.5% above the Aug 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1r 3g 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.6343 · 2026-08-31
- Position
- 2 of median 8 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.6343 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 33% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.6729 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.6343 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 54% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 34
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 3g 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.9370 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
- Position
- 3 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.9370 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 22%
- Confirmed lows
- 231
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6343 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 33%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.6729 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 54%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.937 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
- Amber List: 62% below the 2025-10-27 high; +62% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 88% decline over 19 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +62% above the trough; first weekly pullback after the low confirmed 2026-09-27 (trigger 0.9214).
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.19 (neutral); -81% from the all-time high.
Has Sui bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the SUI snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6343 from 2026-08-31. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.6729 from 2026-09-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.9370 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Sui below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 62.3% below its rolling 365-day high of $2.72 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -80.8% relative to its all-time high of $5.35 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $5.37 · Jan 2025
- Trough
- $0.6343 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -88.2% over 19 months
- Above trough
- +61.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.9546
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (5 bars))
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- pullback #1 low $0.6729 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.9214
| decline | 29.1 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 9.73 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.43 x | 4.3 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 28 # | 12 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 1823.5 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 9.76 x | 0.4 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | 71.7 % | 10.0 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.4 yrs | 8.4 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $4.86B
- Fully diluted
- $11.79B
- 24h volume
- $472.8M
- Circulating
- 4,118,270,448 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $5.35 · 2025-01-04 (-80.8%)
- TVL
- $497.9M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- $218.9K
- Revenue 30d
- $58.9K
- Fees 1y
- $3.0M
- Mayer multiple
- 1.185 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.392
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-05-18 (1253 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- sui
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources