AI · rank #208

OriginTrail TRAC

$0.3420-0.3% 1d+6.0% 7d+22.9% 30d

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 61.9 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2506 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2506 (Aug 2026), week 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3155 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3527. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3155 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 16%.
  • Watch: 60% below the 2025-10-15 high; +36% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 84% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +36% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.3155; it confirms above 0.3527.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.08 (neutral); -28% vs the 200-week average; -87% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.25430.56551.262024-032025-062026-09peak 1.55low 0.2506 (84%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.3864

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1g
Confirmed low
$0.2506 · 2026-07-31
Position
2 of median 4 (max 9)
Current low
$0.2506 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
45%
Confirmed lows
12

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 3g 2Ur 2Dg 1r
Confirmed low
$0.2506 · 2026-08-23
Position
3 of median 5 (max 25)
Current low
$0.3155 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.3527
Cycle-low odds
40% · in band
Confirmed lows
46

Daily 1

Last bars
3g 1r 2Dg 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.3155 · 2026-09-05 (daily)
Position
2 of median 5.0 (max 18)
Current low
$0.3155 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
16%
Confirmed lows
317

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$1.55 · Mar 2024
Trough
$0.2506 · Jul 2026
Decline
-83.8% over 28 months
Above trough
+36.5%
Monthly
confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.3864
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
$0.2845 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
forming at $0.3155 · confirms above $0.3527
Score 61.9
decline26.9
confirmation25
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health62 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
2.54 %6.8 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.12 x14.1 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
208 #3 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
4.8 yrs10.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$152.3M
Fully diluted
$170.2M
24h volume
$3.9M
Circulating
447,274,118 of 500,000,000 max
All-time high
$3.50 · 2021-11-03 (-90.3%)
Mayer multiple
1.08 · neutral
vs 200-week avg
-28.1%
Pi cycle
0.411
On Coinbase since
2021-11-02 (1771 bars)
CoinGecko id
origintrail