
AI · rank #208
OriginTrail TRAC
$0.3420-0.3% 1d+6.0% 7d+22.9% 30d
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 61.9 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2506 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 45%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2506 (Aug 2026), week 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.3155 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.3527. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3155 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 16%.
- Watch: 60% below the 2025-10-15 high; +36% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 84% decline over 28 months, monthly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +36% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.3155; it confirms above 0.3527.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.08 (neutral); -28% vs the 200-week average; -87% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2506 · 2026-07-31
- Position
- 2 of median 4 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.2506 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 45%
- Confirmed lows
- 12
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 3g 2Ur 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.2506 · 2026-08-23
- Position
- 3 of median 5 (max 25)
- Current low
- $0.3155 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.3527
- Cycle-low odds
- 40% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 46
Daily
- Last bars
- 3g 1r 2Dg 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.3155 · 2026-09-05 (daily)
- Position
- 2 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.3155 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 16%
- Confirmed lows
- 317
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $1.55 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.2506 · Jul 2026
- Decline
- -83.8% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +36.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (next-bar) · trigger $0.3864
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- $0.2845 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- forming at $0.3155 · confirms above $0.3527
Score 61.9
| decline | 26.9 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health62 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.54 % | 6.8 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.12 x | 14.1 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 208 # | 3 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 4.8 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $152.3M
- Fully diluted
- $170.2M
- 24h volume
- $3.9M
- Circulating
- 447,274,118 of 500,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $3.50 · 2021-11-03 (-90.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.08 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -28.1%
- Pi cycle
- 0.411
- On Coinbase since
- 2021-11-02 (1771 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- origintrail