
Layer 1 · rank #2162
Vara Network VARA
$0.000427-0.6% 1d-3.0% 7d+6.8% 30d
Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 62.5 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0008 (Dec 2025), month 9 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Current low 0.000364 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000469. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.000364 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0004134 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0004133 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000445. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
- Red List: 89% below the 2025-09-10 high; +17% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 100% decline over 35 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +17% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.68 (cheap); -100% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0008 · 2025-12-31
- Position
- 9 of median 9 (max 13)
- Current low
- $0.000364 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.000469
- Cycle-low odds
- 92%
- Confirmed lows
- 4
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ur 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.000364 · 2026-08-16
- Position
- 4 of median 7.5 (max 24)
- Current low
- $0.000364 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 20% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 19
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 1r 1r 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.000413 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 27)
- Current low
- $0.000413 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.000445
- Cycle-low odds
- 42%
- Confirmed lows
- 183
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.3300 · Sep 2023
- Trough
- $0.000364 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -99.9% over 35 months
- Above trough
- +17.2%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.000469
- Weekly
- confirmed (next-bar)
- False bottom
- none
- Entry
- awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 62.5
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 22.5 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 0 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health25 / 100 · Weak
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.87 % | 1.2 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.75 x | 9.4 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 2162 # | 0 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 116.99 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.0 yrs | 7.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $2.4M
- Fully diluted
- $4.3M
- 24h volume
- $21.2K
- Circulating
- 5,728,223,288
- All-time high
- $0.2701 · 2023-09-20 (-99.8%)
- TVL
- $20.9K (chain)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 0.682 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.231
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-09-20 (1084 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- vara-network