Layer 1 · rank #2162

Vara Network VARA

$0.000427-0.6% 1d-3.0% 7d+6.8% 30d

Red List Phoenix · weekly · score 62.5 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0008 (Dec 2025), month 9 of a cycle that has typically run 9. Current low 0.000364 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000469. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.000364 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0004134 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0004133 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.000445. Cycle-low confidence 42%.
  • Red List: 89% below the 2025-09-10 high; +17% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 100% decline over 35 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +17% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.68 (cheap); -100% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.00036910.007210.14082024-032025-062026-09low 0.000364 (100%)monthly trigger 0.000469

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 1r
Confirmed low
$0.0008 · 2025-12-31
Position
9 of median 9 (max 13)
Current low
$0.000364 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.000469
Cycle-low odds
92%
Confirmed lows
4

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Dr 2Ug 1r 2Ur 1r
Confirmed low
$0.000364 · 2026-08-16
Position
4 of median 7.5 (max 24)
Current low
$0.000364 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
20% · in band
Confirmed lows
19

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Dr 1r 1r 1r
Confirmed low
$0.000413 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5.0 (max 27)
Current low
$0.000413 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.000445
Cycle-low odds
42%
Confirmed lows
183

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$0.3300 · Sep 2023
Trough
$0.000364 · Aug 2026
Decline
-99.9% over 35 months
Above trough
+17.2%
Monthly
not yet · trigger $0.000469
Weekly
confirmed (next-bar)
False bottom
none
Entry
awaiting the first weekly pullback
Score 62.5
decline30
confirmation10
earliness22.5
stale0
false bottom0
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health25 / 100 · Weak
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
0.87 %1.2 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
1.75 x9.4 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
2162 #0 / 15
TVL backing (market cap / TVL)
capital parked in it (DefiLlama)
116.99 x0.0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
3.0 yrs7.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$2.4M
Fully diluted
$4.3M
24h volume
$21.2K
Circulating
5,728,223,288
All-time high
$0.2701 · 2023-09-20 (-99.8%)
TVL
$20.9K (chain)
Fees 30d
Revenue 30d
Fees 1y
Mayer multiple
0.682 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.231
On Coinbase since
2023-09-20 (1084 bars)
CoinGecko id
vara-network