VeChain VET
VET cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List Recovering held mixed
61.6% below its 365-day high of $0.0188 (2025-11-11), +69.4% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
Held on the Red List: it last met the Red List rules on 2026-10-19. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.00426 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 5 (max 12)
- Current low
- $0.00642 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0092
- Cycle-low confidence
- 24%
- Confirmed lows
- 6
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.00675 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 10)
- Current low
- $0.00642 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.00807
- Cycle-low confidence
- 81% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 30
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dg 2Ur 3g 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.00662 · 2026-10-20 (daily)
- Position
- 1 of median 5 (max 25)
- Current low
- $0.00642 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 48%
- Confirmed lows
- 194
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.00426 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.006421 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.009199. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.006749 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.006421 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.00807. Cycle-low confidence 81%.
- Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00662 (2026-10-20), day 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 48%.
- Red List: 62% below the 2025-11-11 high; +69% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.15 (neutral); -91% from the all-time high.
Has VeChain bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the VET snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00426 from 2026-06-30. A newer candidate at $0.00642 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0092, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00675 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.00642 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.00807, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00662 from 2026-10-20. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is VeChain below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 61.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0188 from 2025-11-11. Separately, CoinGecko reports -97.4% relative to its all-time high of $0.2810 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 0.81 % | 1.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 92 # | 6 / 15 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 563.06 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 3.1 yrs | 7.4 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
5 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $745.3M
- Fully diluted
- $745.3M
- 24h volume
- $6.0M
- Circulating
- 85,985,041,177 of 86,712,634,466 max
- All-time high
- $0.2810 · 2021-04-18 (-97.4%)
- TVL
- $1.3M (chain)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.147 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.396
- On Coinbase since
- 2023-09-13 (1135 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- vechain
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources