Layer 1 · rank #147

Tezos XTZ

$0.2367-1.6% 1d+11.4% 7d+13.8% 30d

Amber List Phoenix · weekly · score 62.5 mixed

Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.421 (Dec 2025), month 9 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.1912 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2537. Cycle-low confidence 63%.
Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1912 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 31%.
Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2098 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 12%.
Amber List: 72% below the 2025-09-19 high; +24% off the 365-day low.
Phoenix: 90% decline over 20 months, weekly swing low confirmed (next-bar), now +24% above the trough; no weekly pullback yet — the entry is the pullback, never the chase.
Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.80 (cheap); -69% vs the 200-week average; -97% from the all-time high.

From the peak to today, log scale

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

stopped falling, by the rules

Score 62.5

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx

Health51 / 100 · Sound

Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out	3.58 %	10.3 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell	1.02 x	14.9 / 15
Size (market-cap rank) survivorship	147 #	6 / 15
Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama)	2312.2 x	0 / 20
TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama)	13.11 x	0.0 / 15
Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery	198.6 %	10.0 / 10
Age on Coinbase survived a cycle	6.0 yrs	10.0 / 10

7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.