DeFi · rank #104

Aerodrome Finance AERO

$0.5483-1.1% 1d+16.0% 7d+25.6% 30d

Watch Phoenix · weekly · score 46.8 mixed

  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3055 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.3888 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.5717. Cycle-low confidence 4%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3888 (Aug 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.455 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.5659. Cycle-low confidence 17%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.455 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
  • Watch: 60% below the 2025-09-15 high; +101% off the 365-day low.
  • Phoenix: 84% decline over 28 months, weekly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +41% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.455; it confirms above 0.5659.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.31 (neutral); -75% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
0.27960.78572.212024-032025-062026-09peak 2.38low 0.3888 (84%)false bottommonthly trigger 0.5717

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 1

Last bars
2Ur 3g 2Ur 2Dg 1g
Confirmed low
$0.3055 · 2026-06-30
Position
3 of median 6.0 (max 9)
Current low
$0.3888 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.5717
Cycle-low odds
4%
Confirmed lows
5

Weekly 1

Last bars
1r 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 1r
Confirmed low
$0.3888 · 2026-08-09
Position
5 of median 4.5 (max 22)
Current low
$0.4550 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.5659
Cycle-low odds
17% · in band
Confirmed lows
21

Daily 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Ug 2Ug 1r
Confirmed low
$0.4550 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
Position
5 of median 5 (max 19)
Current low
$0.4550 · confirmed
Cycle-low odds
34% · in band
Confirmed lows
152

Phoenix

stopped falling, by the rules
Peak
$2.38 · Apr 2024
Trough
$0.3888 · Aug 2026
Decline
-83.6% over 28 months
Above trough
+41.0%
Monthly
not yet · trigger $0.5717
Weekly
confirmed (late (2 bars))
False bottom
$0.4744 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
Entry
forming at $0.4550 · confirms above $0.5659
Score 46.8
decline26.8
confirmation10
earliness0
stale0
false bottom10
bluechip0

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health63 / 100 · Sound
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
6.56 %15.0 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
2.0 x7.5 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
104 #6 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
2.6 yrs6.0 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$540.8M
Fully diluted
$1.08B
24h volume
$35.5M
Circulating
986,726,028
All-time high
$2.32 · 2024-12-07 (-76.3%)
Mayer multiple
1.31 · neutral
Pi cycle
0.425
On Coinbase since
2024-02-06 (945 bars)
CoinGecko id
aerodrome-finance