
DeFi · rank #104
Aerodrome Finance AERO
$0.5483-1.1% 1d+16.0% 7d+25.6% 30d
Watch Phoenix · weekly · score 46.8 mixed
- Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3055 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 6. Current low 0.3888 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.5717. Cycle-low confidence 4%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.3888 (Aug 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.455 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.5659. Cycle-low confidence 17%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.455 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
- Watch: 60% below the 2025-09-15 high; +101% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 84% decline over 28 months, weekly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +41% above the trough; a weekly pullback is forming at 0.455; it confirms above 0.5659.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.31 (neutral); -75% from the all-time high.
From the peak to today, log scale
Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ur 3g 2Ur 2Dg 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.3055 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 3 of median 6.0 (max 9)
- Current low
- $0.3888 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.5717
- Cycle-low odds
- 4%
- Confirmed lows
- 5
Weekly
- Last bars
- 1r 2Ug 2Ur 2Dg 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.3888 · 2026-08-09
- Position
- 5 of median 4.5 (max 22)
- Current low
- $0.4550 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.5659
- Cycle-low odds
- 17% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 21
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ur 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.4550 · 2026-09-02 (daily)
- Position
- 5 of median 5 (max 19)
- Current low
- $0.4550 · confirmed
- Cycle-low odds
- 34% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 152
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.38 · Apr 2024
- Trough
- $0.3888 · Aug 2026
- Decline
- -83.6% over 28 months
- Above trough
- +41.0%
- Monthly
- not yet · trigger $0.5717
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.4744 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- forming at $0.4550 · confirms above $0.5659
Score 46.8
| decline | 26.8 |
| confirmation | 10 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-09-07 .xlsx
Health63 / 100 · Sound
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.56 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 2.0 x | 7.5 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 104 # | 6 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 2.6 yrs | 6.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $540.8M
- Fully diluted
- $1.08B
- 24h volume
- $35.5M
- Circulating
- 986,726,028
- All-time high
- $2.32 · 2024-12-07 (-76.3%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.31 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.425
- On Coinbase since
- 2024-02-06 (945 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- aerodrome-finance