AltLayer ALT
ALT cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly · score 71.0 bullish lean
57.9% below its 365-day high of $0.0236 (2025-11-02), +84.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Watch.
58% below its rolling 365-day high, 353 days after the high.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +84.5% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.00537 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 7.0 (max 11)
- Current low
- $0.00537 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 3
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1r 3g 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.0069 · 2026-10-11
- Position
- 2 of median 5 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.00562 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 59% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 14
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Ug 1g 2Ug 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.00722 · 2026-10-15 (daily)
- Position
- 6 of median 5.0 (max 17)
- Current low
- $0.00722 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 28%
- Confirmed lows
- 101
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.00537 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 7.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.0069 (Oct 2026), week 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.00722 (2026-10-15), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
- Watch: 58% below the 2025-11-02 high; +84% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 92% decline over 12 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (3 bars)), now +84% above the trough; pullback #4 confirmed 2026-10-18.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.45 (neutral); -77% from the all-time high.
Has AltLayer bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the ALT snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00537 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0069 from 2026-10-11. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.00722 from 2026-10-15. The current candidate is marked confirmed.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is AltLayer below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 57.9% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.0236 from 2025-11-02. Separately, CoinGecko reports -98.5% relative to its all-time high of $0.6767 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Watch; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- Amber List · Phoenix weekly → Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
- First observed: Amber List · Phoenix weekly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $0.0635 · Jun 2025
- Trough
- $0.00537 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -91.5% over 12 months
- Above trough
- +84.5%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (3 bars)) · trigger $0.00756
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.00595 · Mar 2026 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #4 low $0.0069 confirmed 2026-10-18 · trigger $0.00848
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 6.0 |
| stale | 0 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 6.2 % | 15.0 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.36 x | 12.3 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 440 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.6 yrs | 3.1 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $58.5M
- Fully diluted
- $79.4M
- 24h volume
- $3.6M
- Circulating
- 7,367,187,496 of 10,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.6767 · 2024-03-28 (-98.5%)
- TVL
- $0 (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- —
- Revenue 30d
- —
- Fees 1y
- —
- Mayer multiple
- 1.448 · neutral
- Pi cycle
- 0.397
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-03-27 (574 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- altlayer
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources