Capricorn APR
APR cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Red List mixed
96.0% below its 365-day high of $0.7492 (2025-10-24), +32.5% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Red List.
96% below its rolling 365-day high, 362 days after the high.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Dr 3r 2Dr 2Dr
- Confirmed low
- $0.0635 · 2026-02-28
- Position
- 8 of median ? (max ?)
- Current low
- $0.0228 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.1432
- Cycle-low confidence
- —
- Confirmed lows
- 1
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1475 · 2026-07-26
- Position
- 13 of median 4.0 (max 8)
- Current low
- $0.0228 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0776
- Cycle-low confidence
- 92%
- Confirmed lows
- 7
Daily
- Last bars
- 2Dr 2Dr 1 2Ug 1r
- Confirmed low
- $0.0695 · 2026-10-11 (daily)
- Position
- 10 of median 5 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.0228 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.0407
- Cycle-low confidence
- 92%
- Confirmed lows
- 66
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.0635 (Feb 2026). Current low 0.0228 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1432.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1475 (Jul 2026), week 13 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.0228 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0776. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.0695 (2026-10-11), day 10 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.0228 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.0407. Cycle-low confidence 92%.
- Red List: 96% below the 2025-10-24 high; +32% off the 365-day low.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.17 (cheap); -95% from the all-time high.
Has Capricorn bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the APR snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0635 from 2026-02-28. A newer candidate at $0.0228 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1432, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1475 from 2026-07-26. A newer candidate at $0.0228 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0776, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.0695 from 2026-10-11. A newer candidate at $0.0228 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.0407, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Capricorn below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 96.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.7492 from 2025-10-24. Separately, CoinGecko reports -95.9% relative to its all-time high of $0.7396 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- Amber List → Red List
- First observed: Amber List
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 3.53 % | 10.1 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 3.6 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 593 # | 0 / 15 |
| Usage (price / annualized fees) fees people actually pay to use it (DefiLlama) | 620.5 x | 0 / 20 |
| TVL backing (market cap / TVL) capital parked in it (DefiLlama) | 144.46 x | 0.0 / 15 |
| Fee momentum (30d vs prior 30d) is usage growing into the recovery | -12.8 % | 3.7 / 10 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 1.0 yrs | 1.4 / 10 |
7 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $38.3M
- Fully diluted
- $137.8M
- 24h volume
- $1.4M
- Circulating
- 277,812,500 of 1,000,000,000 max
- All-time high
- $0.7396 · 2025-10-23 (-95.9%)
- TVL
- $264.9K (protocol)
- Fees 30d
- $5.1K
- Revenue 30d
- $882
- Fees 1y
- $68.2K
- Mayer multiple
- 0.166 · cheap
- Pi cycle
- 0.545
- On Coinbase since
- 2025-10-23 (364 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- apriori check
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources