Band BAND
BAND cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals
Amber List Recovering held Phoenix · monthly · score 50 mixed
61.0% below its 365-day high of $0.5710 (2025-10-27), +63.9% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.
On the Amber List.
Held on the Amber List: it last met the Amber List rules. Today it reads Watch; a tier moves down only after five consecutive scans below its rules.
Recovering: a monthly swing low has confirmed. The badge coexists with the tier; it is not a completed recovery.
Phoenix monthly: stopped falling by the rules, +63.9% above the Jun 2026 trough. Details below.
Since the previous scan.
Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.
Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.
Recorded timeline →Where it sits in each cycle
a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's highMonthly
- Last bars
- 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug
- Confirmed low
- $0.1360 · 2026-06-30
- Position
- 4 of median 5.0 (max 16)
- Current low
- $0.1360 · confirmed
- Cycle-low confidence
- 20%
- Confirmed lows
- 11
Weekly
- Last bars
- 2Ug 2Ug 2Ug 2Dr 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.1736 · 2026-09-20
- Position
- 5 of median 5.0 (max 14)
- Current low
- $0.2074 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2566
- Cycle-low confidence
- 48% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 55
Daily
- Last bars
- 3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 1g
- Confirmed low
- $0.2135 · 2026-10-08 (daily)
- Position
- 13 of median 5.0 (max 18)
- Current low
- $0.2074 · unconfirmed
- Confirms above
- $0.2267
- Cycle-low confidence
- 62% · in band
- Confirmed lows
- 427
The full read, in sentences
- Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.136 (Jun 2026), month 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.
- Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1736 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.2074 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2566. Cycle-low confidence 48%.
- Daily: bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.2135 (2026-10-08), day 13 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.2074 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2267. Cycle-low confidence 62%.
- Amber List: 61% below the 2025-10-27 high; +64% off the 365-day low.
- Phoenix: 95% decline over 27 months, monthly swing low confirmed (late (2 bars)), now +64% above the trough; pullback #3 confirmed 2026-09-27.
- Gauges: Mayer multiple 1.16 (neutral); -78% vs the 200-week average; -99% from the all-time high.
Has Band bottomed?
A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BAND snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:
Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1360 from 2026-06-30. The current candidate is marked confirmed. The latest monthly bar is still forming.
Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1736 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.2074 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2566, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.
Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.2135 from 2026-10-08. A newer candidate at $0.2074 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.2267, provided the candidate low is not undercut first.
How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.
How far is Band below its high?
The Coinbase price snapshot is 61.0% below its rolling 365-day high of $0.5710 from 2025-10-27. Separately, CoinGecko reports -99.0% relative to its all-time high of $22.83 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.
Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.
The recorded history
scan observations, not exact transition timesFirst observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.
- First observed: Amber List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
Phoenix
stopped falling, by the rules- Peak
- $2.90 · Mar 2024
- Trough
- $0.1360 · Jun 2026
- Decline
- -95.3% over 27 months
- Above trough
- +63.9%
- Monthly
- confirmed (late (2 bars)) · trigger $0.2120
- Weekly
- confirmed (late (2 bars))
- False bottom
- $0.5020 · Jun 2025 (2 higher highs, then undercut)
- Entry
- pullback #3 low $0.1736 confirmed 2026-09-27 · trigger $0.2198
| decline | 30 |
| confirmation | 25 |
| earliness | 0 |
| stale | -15 |
| false bottom | 10 |
| bluechip | 0 |
Fundamentals
| Liquidity (24h volume / market cap) can you get out | 2.96 % | 8.2 / 15 |
| Supply overhang (FDV / market cap) unlocked supply waiting to sell | 1.0 x | 15.0 / 15 |
| Size (market-cap rank) survivorship | 569 # | 0 / 15 |
| Age on Coinbase survived a cycle | 6.1 yrs | 10.0 / 10 |
| usage | could not look — no source data | |
| tvl | could not look — no source data | |
| momentum | could not look — no source data | |
4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.
- Market cap
- $41.1M
- Fully diluted
- $41.1M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Circulating
- 183,268,110
- All-time high
- $22.83 · 2021-04-15 (-99.0%)
- Mayer multiple
- 1.163 · neutral
- vs 200-week avg
- -78.5%
- Pi cycle
- 0.389
- On Coinbase since
- 2020-08-31 (2243 bars)
- CoinGecko id
- band-protocol
Continue your cycle research
How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources