DeFi · rank #497

Lombard BARD

BARD cycle analysis · chart, confirmed lows and fundamentals

$0.1112+0.5% 1d-0.4% 7d-18.3% 30d

Red List mixed

93.6% below its 365-day high of $1.73 (2026-03-05), +10.8% off the 365-day low. Snapshot 2026-10-21 UTC.

Last 18 months, log scale
0.10240.41721.702025-092026-042026-10high 1.73low 0.1004
Where it stands

On the Red List.

94% below its rolling 365-day high, 230 days after the high.

What changed

Since the previous scan.

Tier, recovering badge and Phoenix state are unchanged between these two observations.

Comparing 2026-10-20 with 2026-10-21 UTC. Classification, not price returns.

Recorded timeline →

Where it sits in each cycle

a swing low confirms only when a later bar takes out the low bar's high

Monthly 2D

Last bars
2Dr 2Dr 2Dg 2Ug 2Dr
Confirmed low
$0.1004 · 2026-08-31
Position
2 of median 5.0 (max 7)
Current low
$0.1022 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.1442
Cycle-low confidence
—
Confirmed lows
3

Weekly 1

Last bars
2Ug 2Ur 2Dr 2Dr 1g
Confirmed low
$0.1146 · 2026-09-20
Position
5 of median 4.5 (max 21)
Current low
$0.1022 · unconfirmed
Confirms above
$0.1262
Cycle-low confidence
52% · in band
Confirmed lows
9

Daily 2U

Last bars
3r 2Dr 1g 2Ug 2Ug
Confirmed low
$0.1022 · 2026-10-18 (daily)
Position
3 of median 5 (max 22)
Current low
$0.1022 · confirmed
Cycle-low confidence
26%
Confirmed lows
68
The full read, in sentences
  • Monthly: forming bar is a red 2-Down. Last confirmed swing low 0.1004 (Aug 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1022 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1442.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1146 (Sep 2026), week 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4.5. Current low 0.1022 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1262. Cycle-low confidence 52%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1022 (2026-10-18), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.
  • Red List: 94% below the 2026-03-05 high; +11% off the 365-day low.
  • Gauges: Mayer multiple 0.65 (cheap); -94% from the all-time high.

Has Lombard bottomed?

A confirmed swing low is evidence of a price pattern, not proof of a final market bottom. Here is what the BARD snapshot records on 2026-10-21 UTC:

Monthly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1004 from 2026-08-31. A newer candidate at $0.1022 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1442, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest monthly bar is still forming.

Weekly: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1146 from 2026-09-20. A newer candidate at $0.1022 is unconfirmed; its confirmation level is above $0.1262, provided the candidate low is not undercut first. The latest weekly bar is still forming.

Daily: the last confirmed swing low is $0.1022 from 2026-10-18. The current candidate is marked confirmed.

How bottom confirmation works. Cycle-low confidence is a heuristic score, not a calibrated probability of a profitable trade.

How far is Lombard below its high?

The Coinbase price snapshot is 93.6% below its rolling 365-day high of $1.73 from 2026-03-05. Separately, CoinGecko reports -93.5% relative to its all-time high of $1.70 in the fundamentals snapshot pulled 2026-10-21.

Different sources and observation times can produce different drawdowns. Compare crypto drawdowns and reference highs.

The recorded history

scan observations, not exact transition times

First observed 2026-09-19. 33 observations; absence from a captured scan is unmatched, never recovery.

  1. Red List; recovering → Red List
  2. Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly → Red List; recovering
  3. Red List · Phoenix weekly → Red List; recovering · Phoenix monthly
  4. First observed: Red List · Phoenix weekly

Fundamentals

CoinGecko + DefiLlama, pulled 2026-10-21 .xlsx
Health19 / 100 · Weak
Liquidity (24h volume / market cap)
can you get out
2.57 %6.9 / 15
Supply overhang (FDV / market cap)
unlocked supply waiting to sell
2.75 x1.9 / 15
Size (market-cap rank)
survivorship
497 #0 / 15
Age on Coinbase
survived a cycle
1.1 yrs1.7 / 10
usagecould not look — no source data
tvlcould not look — no source data
momentumcould not look — no source data

4 of 7 measurable; score renormalized over what was measurable.

Market cap
$49.4M
Fully diluted
$135.9M
24h volume
$1.3M
Circulating
363,750,000 of 1,000,000,000 max
All-time high
$1.70 · 2026-03-05 (-93.5%)
Mayer multiple
0.649 · cheap
Pi cycle
0.142
On Coinbase since
2025-09-18 (399 bars)
CoinGecko id
lombard-protocol

Continue your cycle research

How to read a crypto cycle chart · Calculation rules and sources